Probability (ISS (Statistical Services) Statistics Paper I (Old Subjective Pattern)): Questions 9 - 13 of 72

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Question number: 9

» Probability » Convergence » In Probability

Appeared in Year: 2011

Essay Question▾

Describe in Detail

Let X 1, X 2, …, X n be a sequence of i. i. d. r. v. s with E (X i) = 0 and V (X i) = 1. Show that the sequence tends to 1 in probability.

Explanation

we have known that is the sample variance of the sequence. The mean is

The convergence in probability is

Using Chebychev’s inequality

Thus, sufficient condition is that convergence in probability to 1 is that .

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Question number: 10

» Probability » Bayes' Theorem

Appeared in Year: 2012

Essay Question▾

Describe in Detail

The ith box contains 2i white balls and 6 - 2i black balls, i = 1 (1) 3. A fair die is cast once. 3 balls are taken at random from box 1, box 2 or box 3 according as the die shows up face 1, any of 2 and 3, or any of 4, 5 and 6, respectively. Let X denotes the number of white balls drawn. Find E (X).

Explanation

E 1 = Box 1 2 white and 4 black when the fair dice value is x 1 =1

E 2 =Box 2 4 white and 2 black when the fair dice value is x 2 = (2, 3)

E 3 =Box 3 6 white when the fair dice value is x 3 = (4, 5, 6)

X denotes the number of white balls out of randomly select 3 balls

Probability of selecting a ball in E 1 is

Similarly, Probability of s…

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Question number: 11

» Probability » Standard Probability Distributions » Negative Binomial

Appeared in Year: 2012

Essay Question▾

Describe in Detail

Items from a large lot are examined one by one until r items with a rare manufacturing defect are found. The proportion of items with this type of defect in the lot is known to be p. Let X denote the number of items needed to be examined. Derive the probability distribution of X, and find E (X).

Explanation

In this question, the sample size is n = x+r given and each trail only two possible outcomes. The probability of defect is same for each trail and trails are independent. The experiment continues until r defectives.

In the given question the number of manufacturing defect are fixed which is r and proportion of item which is defect that is proba…

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Question number: 12

» Probability » Expectation

Appeared in Year: 2011

Essay Question▾

Describe in Detail

Let (X, Y) have a bivariate distribution with finite moments upto order 2. Show that

(i) E (E (X|Y) ) =E (X)

(ii) V (X) ≥ V (X|Y)

Explanation

Let (X, Y) have a bivariate distribution with density function id f (x, y). The conditional expectation is define as

Note that E (X|y) is a function of y. If we allow y to vary over the support of Y, then E (X|y) as a function of the random variable Y. Taking the expectation of this function over the random variable Y,

T…

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Question number: 13

» Probability » Elements of Measure Theory

Appeared in Year: 2013

Essay Question▾

Describe in Detail

If the probability for n independent events are p 1, p 2, …, p n, then prove that:

(i) none of the events will occur

(ii) at least one event will occur

(iii) at most one event will occur;

Explanation

Let A 1 , A 2, …, A n, n independent events with probabilities p 1, p 2, …, p n.

(i) Find the probability that none of the events will occur

Since events are independent and the probability that one event does not occur is 1-p

So, none of the events will occur

(ii) Find the probability that at least one event will occur is

(iii) …

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